Look closer - the graphs show the melting rates of two typical glaciers.
They have been slowly melting since, at least, the little ice age. In the 1930s the
melting rate increased dramatically. Most of the melting occurred in that period.
Slow melting resumed after the 1930s.
Claims of rapid glacier melting are 80- years out of date.
Most Glacier Melting was in the 1930s
Greenland ice sheet the summer average temperature has decreased at the rate of 2.2
◦C per decade
Since 1940, however, the Greenland coastal stations data have undergone predominantly
a cooling trend. At the summit of the Greenland ice sheet the summer average temperature
has decreased at the rate of 2.2 ◦C per decade since the beginning of the measurements
in 1987. This suggests that the Greenland ice sheet and coastal regions are not following
the current global warming trend. A considerable and rapid warming over all of coastal
Greenland occurred in the 1920s when the average annual surface air temperature rose
between 2 and 4 ◦C in less than ten years (at some stations the increase in winter
temperature was as high as 6 ◦C). This rapid warming, at a time when the change in
anthropogenic production of greenhouse gases was well below the current level, suggests
a high natural variability in the regional climate.
The headline of the September 8, 2015 Seattle Times states:
‘Disastrous’: Low snow, heat eat away at Northwest glaciers
“Glaciers across the North Cascades could lose 5 to 10 percent of their volume this
year, accelerating decades of steady decline. One scientist estimates the region’s
glaciers are smaller than they have been in at least 4,000 years.” “The best word
for it is disastrous,” said Pelto”
This was a multi-page story with numerous photographs and many predictions that glaciers
in the North Cascade Mts. will be gone in 50 years. Having just finished a major
analysis of Mt. Baker’s glaciers dating back thousands of years, I thought, what
kind of nonsense is this? So I put together some of the data on Mt. Baker glaciers
that will soon be published.
Photos and maps from a large collection dating back to 1909 document exactly what
Mt. Baker glaciers have done in the past. What these photos and maps clearly show
is the Mt. Baker glaciers reached their maximum extent of the past century in 1915
at the end of the 1880 to 1915 cold period. The glaciers then melted back strongly
during the 1915 to 1950 warm period. The climate then turned cool again, and Mt.
Baker glaciers advanced strongly for 30 years. In 1977, the climate turned warm again
and since about 1980, glaciers have been retreating again. However, photos and maps
prove that all Mt. Baker glaciers are more extensive today than they were in 1950.
Here are a few examples.
(IPCC says that man’s CO2 had little effect before 1950)
In 1926 Fred Stadter discovered a prehistoric forest buried under a Mt. Hood glacier
that was being revealed due to the glacier’s retreat in recent years. This discovery
was profiled by E. T. Hodge in Vol. 13, No. 12: pp. 82-86 of Mazama Magazine, where
“Stadter’s Forest” was given its name.
In the September, 1946 Ore.-Bin, in an article titled "Mt. Hood's Vanishing Glaciers"
(Vol. 8, No. 9: 61-65), Ralph Mason wrote:
"Today, the receding tongues of Reid Glacier have uncovered evidence that at one
time in the not too distant past the glaciers suffered a shrinking back as profound
as that now going on. Several years ago a buried forest was discovered on the ridge
dividing Reid and Zigzag glaciers at an elevation of 6200 feet. The trees, now pressed
flat and buried by glacial debris, measure from 1 to 3 feet in diameter. The nearest
living trees of comparable size now grow far down in the valleys. Evidently the glaciers
on Mt. Hood at one time receded until their snouts were far up on the mountain or
had even vanished entirely for a time."
In 1991 Cameron and Pringle published an article in Oregon Geology (Vol. 53, No.
2: 34-43), "Prehistoric Buried Forests of Mount Hood,” that notes the Stadter Forest
trees had actually grown at 5,850 feet elevation and had been buried sometime around
1,700 years before 1991.
The "tree ring data" regarding glacier dynamics seems pretty clear. Glaciers have
been receding and growing for millennia: currently (on Mt. Hood at least) growing
smaller for over 100 years -- apparently well in advance of Global Warming modeler
awareness or post-WW II atmospheric CO2 increases.
To say these effects have anything to do with Anthropogenic Global Warming seems
impossible, given the evidence. To say they are related to climate change is obvious.
The climate has always been changing and likely always will. Fortunately, we are
a resilient species and will probably continue adapting. Just like always.
Note: Early 20th Century warming wasn’t restricted to limited to Cascades glaciers
— the effects were shared over much of the northernn hemisphere. Consider this statement
from the AP published in the Washington Post on November 2, 1922, for example:
"The Arctic ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer and in some places
the seals are finding the water too hot, according to a report to the Commerce Department
yesterday from Consul Ifft, at Bergen, Norway. Reports from fishermen, seal hunters
and explorers, he declared, all point to a radical change in climate conditions and
hitherto unheard-of temperatures in the Arctic zone. Exploration expeditions report
that scarcely any ice has been met with as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes. Soundings
to a depth of 3,100 meters showed the gulf stream still very warm. Great masses of
ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and stones, the report continued, while
at many points well known glaciers have entirely disappeared. Very few seals and
no white fish are found in the eastern Arctic, while vast shoals of herring and smelts,
which have never before ventured so far north, are being encountered in the old seal
Glaciers Disappearing During NASA’s Coldest Years On record
If we are to truly prepare for the dangers of climate change and build more resilient
environments, we must first understand natural climate change. Unfortunately due
to the narrow focus on rising CO2, the public remains ill-informed and fearful about
the causes retreating ice. Africa’s Mount Kilimanjaro and America’s Glacier National
Park are 2 iconic examples of failed climate interpretations. For example, Al Gore’s
“Inconvenient Truth” suggested warmth from rising CO2 had been melting Kilmanjaro’s
glaciers. In truth, instrumental data revealed local temperatures have never risen
above the freezing point. In 2004, Dr. Geoff Jenkins, Head of the Climate Prediction
Programme at England’s Hadley Centre, was prompted by the evidence of no warming,
to email the IPCC’s Phil Jones and ask and I quote “would you agree that there is
no convincing evidence for Kilimanjaro glacier melt being due to recent warming (let
alone man-made warming)?” Yet due to the politicization of climate science, Al Gore
shared the Nobel Prize despite perpetuating the global warming myth of Kilimanjaro.
Glacier experts from the University of Innsbruk published and I quote, “The near
extinction of the plateau ice in modern times is controlled by the absence of sustained
regional wet periods rather than changes in local air temperature on the peak of
Kilimanjaro.” Changing patterns of precipitation were recorded in the water level
of nearby Lake Naivasha. As researchers documented in this graph, the region had
experienced increasing precipitation during the Little Ice Age, followed by a sharp
drying trend that began in the late 1700s, which triggered Kilimanjaro’s retreat
long before CO2 ever reached significant concentrations.
With the moraines mapped and the ecesis intervals determined, Cusick could now visit
each moraine, sample the oldest trees and determine the age of each moraine. Using
the moraine dates, Cusick could reconstruct the history of Exit Glacier and its dramatic
retreat up the valley.
The Little Ice Age (LIA) was a time of global cooling from approximately 1350 to
1870 AD. During this time glaciers expanded in the northern regions, moving down
the mountains and scouring the vegetation that had been in the valleys below. Park
Service personnel recently discovered evidence of a buried forest dating back to
at least 1170 AD high in the Forelands near the current glacier’s edge. Exit Glacier
advanced from the Harding Icefield during the Little Ice Age, burying this existing
forest and advancing to a maximum marked by the terminal moraine dated to 1815.
With the warming trend of the 1800s, Exit Glacier began to retreat from its 1815
maximum. Very slowly, the glacier retreated 230 feet (70 m) from 1815 to 1889, averaging
about 3.1 ft/year (1 m/yr) (see Table 1). The glacier then retreated much more rapidly
between 1889-1899, interspersed with periods of stagnation, which are marked by linear
moraines (1889, 1891, 1894 and 1899). During this time, the glacier retreated 1680
ft (512 m), about 168 ft/yr (51 m/yr).
The next fifteen years was a period of a slow but s teady retreat, as t he g lacier
retreated only 42 ft/yr (13 m/yr). In the years between 1914 and 1917, Exit Glacier
experienced its most rapid retreat. In just 3 years, the glacier retreated 908 ft
(277 m) or almost a foot per day. From 1917 to 1973, Exit Glacier continued to retreat
with periods of slow to moderate retreat. There were five periods of retreat, with
the ice melting fastest between 1961 and 1968 (115 ft/yr or 35 m/yr).
During the retreat of Exit Glacier from its Little Ice Age maximum in 1815 until
recent times, the glacier has left a series of more than 11 moraines and retreated
more than 1.25 miles (2 km). The glacier had an average retreat of roughly 6/10 of
a mile each century or one kilometer each century.
75% Of Total Modern Glacier Melt Occurred Before 1950
(IPCC says that man’s CO2 had little effect before 1950)
“The abrupt climatic transition of the early 20th century and the 25-year warm period
1925–1950 triggered the main retreat and volume loss of these glaciers since the
end of the ‘Little Ice Age’. Meanwhile, cooling during the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s
altered the trend, with advances of the glacier snouts. Stötter et al. (1999) indicate
that the coldest period after the LIA was from the early 1960s to the mid-1970s,
when temperatures fell to levels equivalent to the warmest recorded in the 19th century.
This cooling is the reason given by Caseldine (1983, 1985a, 1985b, 1988) to explain
the advance of the Gljúfurárjökull between the mid-1970s and the mid-1980s … Studies
of aerial photographs and satellite images show that the glacier snouts have retreated
by more than 1300 m on average since the LIA maximum (considered to be AD 1898 in
Gljúfurárjökull and AD 1868 in both Western and Eastern Tungnahryggsjökull), with
an altitudinal rise of more than 100 m. The retreat accelerated rapidly (15.3 m yr−1)
during the first half of the 20th century. In the second half of the 20th century,
the retreat decelerated considerably, reflected in the lowest values around 1985
(5.2 m yr−1) and a trend shift in 1994, with an advance observed in Gljúfurárjökull.
… The retreat rate intensified in the period 2000–2005 compared with 1994–2000, but
did not reach the rates recorded before 1946.” - See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2017/02/09/new-paper-glacier-melt-rates-were-up-to-3-times-greater-faster-during-early-20th-century/#sthash.GGGqBVLx.dpuf
(IPCC says that man’s CO2 had little effect before 1950)
The Jakobshavn glacier in Greenland retreated more than one foot per day from 1850
to 1903, while thinning by a “considerable extent.” It was also reported that alpine
glaciers were in general retreat, and “conclusively that the glaciers of Greenland
In 1908, National Geographic reported that Alaskan glaciers at Glacier Bay retreated
eleven feet per day from 1894 to 1907, during the coldest years on record.
USGS reports that Glacier Bay glaciers retreated four feet per day from 1760 to 1907.
I annotated the map to show which periods of melting are considered natural by scientists,
and which periods are caused by man.
In 1910, it was reported that the glaciers of the world had been retreating since
at least 1836.